Labour Research (March 2025)

Union news

Community union partners with Google in AI skills pilot project

Earnings growth over the whole economy in the three months to December 2024 was 5.9%, up from 5.6% previously. This healthy above-inflation growth was driven by the private sector — and strong rises in sectors like construction and retail — with the public sector lagging behind on 4.7%.  

Figures from the Office for National Statistics show that the employment rate has stayed relatively stable, with a slight uptick in the previous quarter.

But the unemployment rate has continued to rise over the last year. It now stands at 4.4%, higher than it was pre-Covid but not as high as it reached during the peak of the pandemic.

The jobless claimant rate was up to 1.75 million, lower than recent peaks but still half a million higher than pre-Covid.

Meanwhile, slightly fewer people are classified as “economically inactive”, although numbers remain historically high.

Trends of note are that the number of employees is increasing while self-employed workers are decreasing. The number with second jobs is also going up, following decreases in early 2023. There were 1.274 million (3.8% of people in employment) working two jobs in the latest quarter. 

Overall, the labour market continues to cool: there were an estimated 819,000 vacancies in the last quarter, continuing a long run of decline.


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